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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+3.08vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.97+7.80vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.42+2.05vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.04+6.35vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.09+3.54vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.22+5.74vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92+6.10vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.97+4.80vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.99+0.54vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.20-1.71vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.10+0.09vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.38-5.06vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.02-4.60vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.81-4.02vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.10-4.56vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.15-3.75vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.77-7.68vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-8.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08Stanford University3.3021.1%1st Place
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9.8Roger Williams University1.974.2%1st Place
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5.05Yale University2.4215.4%1st Place
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10.35U. S. Naval Academy2.044.1%1st Place
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8.54Boston College2.094.5%1st Place
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11.74Northeastern University1.222.4%1st Place
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13.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.921.7%1st Place
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12.8Old Dominion University0.971.3%1st Place
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9.54Brown University1.993.9%1st Place
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8.29Georgetown University2.205.8%1st Place
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11.09Harvard University2.103.0%1st Place
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6.94Cornell University2.388.8%1st Place
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8.4Tulane University2.025.8%1st Place
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9.98College of Charleston1.814.0%1st Place
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10.44Dartmouth College2.102.9%1st Place
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12.25Tufts University1.152.3%1st Place
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9.32University of Pennsylvania1.774.0%1st Place
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9.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 21.1% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% |
| Carmen Cowles | 15.4% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% |
| Deana Fedulova | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 19.8% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 19.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Cordelia Burn | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% |
| Bridget Green | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% |
| Sarah Young | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 13.7% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.