Race 1A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Jack McGraw 8.2% 7.8% 8.4% 7.8% 7.6% 7.3% 8.3% 6.5% 7.3% 8.3% 7.2% 4.8% 4.9% 3.9% 1.7%
Emma White 8.0% 8.9% 8.5% 7.5% 8.7% 7.5% 7.9% 7.8% 6.8% 7.5% 7.4% 5.1% 4.7% 2.4% 1.3%
Cameron Holley 9.2% 11.3% 10.0% 9.2% 8.5% 8.1% 8.3% 7.7% 8.3% 6.0% 5.0% 4.1% 2.6% 1.2% 0.5%
Reed Lorimer 4.6% 5.1% 5.3% 5.6% 6.3% 5.6% 6.9% 6.9% 6.4% 7.9% 8.0% 9.3% 8.1% 9.6% 4.4%
Jan Kite-Powell 5.8% 7.2% 5.9% 5.8% 6.0% 6.2% 7.3% 6.3% 6.6% 8.8% 9.5% 7.8% 6.5% 7.0% 3.3%
Zachary Bresnick 2.3% 2.3% 2.7% 3.2% 2.9% 3.2% 3.2% 4.5% 4.2% 6.3% 7.3% 8.0% 12.4% 16.3% 21.2%
Mack Fox 11.7% 7.5% 9.0% 9.6% 8.4% 8.7% 9.3% 7.7% 7.3% 5.4% 5.1% 4.0% 3.9% 2.0% 0.4%
Peter Lynn 7.7% 6.6% 9.2% 6.3% 6.5% 6.8% 8.1% 7.6% 7.9% 6.9% 7.0% 7.1% 6.1% 3.8% 2.4%
Malcolm Lamphere 10.4% 9.6% 9.4% 9.8% 8.7% 9.5% 7.5% 8.1% 9.0% 5.7% 4.1% 4.1% 2.6% 1.4% 0.1%
Hugh MacGillivray 9.4% 9.2% 8.2% 10.0% 8.4% 8.8% 7.7% 8.7% 8.2% 5.6% 4.4% 5.9% 2.9% 2.1% 0.5%
Conner Harding 9.2% 11.8% 9.0% 8.3% 9.3% 8.2% 7.1% 7.1% 6.4% 5.9% 6.3% 5.1% 2.9% 2.6% 0.8%
Frank Reeg 3.5% 2.0% 2.8% 3.8% 5.3% 6.1% 5.5% 5.3% 6.0% 7.8% 8.4% 8.9% 12.3% 12.5% 9.8%
Peter Girard 1.9% 2.2% 2.5% 3.3% 3.6% 3.8% 3.6% 4.1% 4.4% 4.7% 7.0% 9.0% 11.6% 15.7% 22.6%
Matt Safford 6.0% 6.2% 6.4% 7.4% 7.1% 7.2% 6.1% 8.3% 8.0% 7.4% 7.0% 8.3% 6.9% 5.2% 2.5%
Bridget Lawless 2.1% 2.3% 2.7% 2.4% 2.7% 3.0% 3.2% 3.4% 3.2% 5.8% 6.3% 8.5% 11.6% 14.3% 28.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.