Race 4A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Peter Lynn 8.0% 7.3% 7.5% 8.4% 6.6% 8.2% 7.0% 8.0% 6.8% 7.9% 6.7% 6.7% 4.4% 3.9% 2.6%
Malcolm Lamphere 9.7% 11.9% 9.6% 10.0% 8.4% 9.1% 8.4% 7.0% 6.3% 5.1% 5.8% 3.8% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3%
Reed Lorimer 5.1% 5.3% 5.0% 5.2% 6.8% 5.4% 6.3% 6.3% 7.7% 8.4% 7.4% 9.4% 9.5% 7.7% 4.5%
Conner Harding 10.9% 9.8% 9.2% 10.1% 8.0% 7.8% 7.8% 7.3% 6.6% 8.0% 5.0% 4.1% 2.7% 1.9% 0.8%
Emma White 7.7% 8.4% 6.8% 7.4% 7.0% 7.9% 7.9% 7.5% 8.8% 7.9% 6.7% 5.6% 5.0% 3.8% 1.6%
Cameron Holley 9.8% 9.3% 8.9% 8.9% 9.6% 9.7% 8.1% 8.7% 6.5% 5.9% 5.7% 3.7% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5%
Hugh MacGillivray 10.9% 8.7% 9.8% 9.0% 9.2% 9.8% 7.1% 6.6% 7.8% 6.2% 5.2% 3.1% 4.6% 1.4% 0.6%
Matt Safford 6.8% 5.2% 7.8% 6.4% 7.2% 5.6% 7.4% 7.2% 7.5% 6.4% 8.0% 9.8% 6.6% 4.8% 3.3%
Frank Reeg 3.4% 3.0% 4.0% 3.9% 4.9% 5.9% 6.4% 4.9% 5.8% 8.3% 9.0% 10.6% 10.4% 11.4% 8.1%
Jack McGraw 7.1% 7.5% 8.0% 7.3% 8.4% 7.1% 7.8% 7.7% 7.7% 8.7% 5.5% 5.9% 6.5% 3.7% 1.1%
Mack Fox 9.5% 10.6% 10.1% 8.9% 8.7% 7.2% 7.1% 8.9% 6.6% 5.1% 5.4% 4.7% 3.9% 2.1% 1.2%
Jan Kite-Powell 5.0% 4.7% 5.8% 6.4% 7.2% 6.1% 6.2% 8.2% 8.4% 6.4% 9.6% 7.6% 7.7% 6.9% 3.8%
Bridget Lawless 1.8% 1.8% 2.4% 2.4% 2.7% 2.8% 3.6% 2.9% 3.3% 4.9% 6.1% 8.6% 9.9% 16.7% 30.1%
Zachary Bresnick 2.2% 2.2% 2.7% 3.0% 2.2% 4.6% 4.2% 4.2% 5.3% 5.5% 6.7% 8.3% 11.0% 16.7% 21.2%
Peter Girard 2.1% 4.3% 2.4% 2.7% 3.1% 2.8% 4.7% 4.6% 4.9% 5.3% 7.2% 8.1% 11.3% 16.2% 20.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.