Race 5A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Jack McGraw 8.4% 7.6% 8.3% 7.5% 8.4% 8.0% 7.1% 7.0% 7.2% 8.4% 6.5% 5.2% 5.3% 3.1% 2.0%
Conner Harding 11.1% 11.0% 8.8% 8.4% 10.1% 7.7% 9.5% 5.7% 7.7% 6.0% 4.7% 4.2% 3.1% 1.7% 0.3%
Cameron Holley 9.5% 11.1% 10.4% 8.7% 7.7% 9.3% 7.9% 7.6% 6.6% 7.4% 5.8% 3.7% 1.9% 2.0% 0.4%
Jan Kite-Powell 5.4% 6.2% 6.9% 6.7% 7.3% 5.8% 6.8% 7.2% 7.5% 7.2% 9.3% 7.9% 6.1% 6.5% 3.2%
Mack Fox 9.8% 9.7% 8.3% 8.4% 8.1% 6.9% 8.9% 8.9% 9.0% 6.6% 4.7% 4.7% 3.1% 2.4% 0.5%
Zachary Bresnick 1.9% 3.2% 1.9% 3.7% 2.6% 3.3% 3.8% 3.5% 5.1% 5.0% 8.0% 7.9% 12.8% 15.5% 21.8%
Hugh MacGillivray 11.1% 8.7% 8.2% 9.4% 8.9% 9.7% 8.9% 7.4% 6.3% 5.8% 5.6% 3.5% 4.3% 2.0% 0.2%
Matt Safford 6.7% 5.6% 7.7% 5.1% 7.8% 5.8% 8.0% 6.8% 7.2% 7.6% 7.3% 9.2% 7.2% 4.7% 3.3%
Malcolm Lamphere 10.1% 9.8% 9.7% 9.7% 9.2% 8.8% 7.7% 8.6% 7.6% 6.6% 5.1% 3.4% 2.0% 1.4% 0.3%
Reed Lorimer 4.3% 4.2% 5.3% 5.9% 6.2% 6.8% 5.7% 6.7% 6.8% 8.1% 8.8% 9.0% 8.4% 8.4% 5.4%
Emma White 6.8% 9.1% 8.0% 8.5% 6.7% 8.3% 6.7% 8.2% 7.7% 6.9% 4.8% 6.9% 5.7% 3.2% 2.5%
Peter Girard 2.5% 1.5% 1.8% 2.1% 3.1% 4.0% 3.6% 6.0% 4.3% 5.4% 7.9% 8.8% 10.8% 17.6% 20.6%
Frank Reeg 3.3% 3.4% 3.7% 4.5% 4.3% 5.1% 4.9% 5.7% 4.7% 7.2% 8.0% 10.5% 12.5% 12.0% 10.2%
Peter Lynn 7.3% 6.6% 7.9% 8.9% 7.4% 6.9% 7.5% 7.4% 9.2% 6.4% 7.2% 7.3% 4.7% 3.6% 1.7%
Bridget Lawless 1.8% 2.3% 3.1% 2.5% 2.2% 3.6% 3.0% 3.3% 3.1% 5.4% 6.3% 7.8% 12.1% 15.9% 27.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.