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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.96+6.03vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.23+4.01vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.24+3.08vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.25+2.09vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.83+5.83vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.21+0.21vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.75+0.85vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.99-1.01vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.90-1.73vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-3.63vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.51-2.29vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.70-3.69vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.79-1.81vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.62-2.53vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-5.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.03Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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6.01Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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6.08Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.09Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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10.83University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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6.21Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.85Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.99Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.27Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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6.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.71Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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8.31University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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11.19Northeastern University1.790.0%1st Place
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11.47Salve Regina University1.620.0%1st Place
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9.6Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack McGraw | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% |
| Conner Harding | 9.0% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Holley | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Peter Girard | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 16.3% | 21.1% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Matt Safford | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Emma White | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Peter Lynn | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Mack Fox | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Reed Lorimer | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 5.9% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 3.2% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 23.5% |
| Bridget Lawless | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 16.6% | 26.9% |
| Frank Reeg | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.