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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.06+4.30vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.05+6.55vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.60+3.83vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.20+4.22vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.81+1.31vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.43+1.51vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.47+0.28vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.92-2.07vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.57+3.95vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.72-3.41vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.89-1.67vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-1.98vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-4.11vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.10-2.34vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.33-10.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.3Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.55University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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6.83Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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8.22Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
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6.31Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.51Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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7.28Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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5.93Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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12.95Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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6.59University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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9.33Roger Williams University1.890.0%1st Place
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10.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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8.89Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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11.66Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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4.62Yale University3.330.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Giblin | 11.9% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Colin Richards | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 3.5% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Keller | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Carter Pemberton | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Max Clapp | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Ben Palmer | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 17.6% | 46.7% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Ed Lebens | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 6.4% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 9.2% |
| Alexander Bowen | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 3.5% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 21.6% | 23.3% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 16.0% | 16.6% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.