Race 3B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Max Clapp 11.2% 10.0% 12.7% 9.0% 9.3% 8.2% 8.0% 7.7% 6.9% 4.8% 4.5% 3.1% 2.7% 1.3% 0.6%
Kyle Dochoda 7.1% 9.3% 8.6% 9.6% 8.0% 7.7% 7.5% 8.5% 6.2% 8.1% 6.3% 4.8% 4.3% 3.2% 0.8%
Louisa Nordstrom 16.4% 13.8% 13.4% 11.9% 9.9% 9.0% 8.5% 4.5% 5.0% 3.4% 2.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Scott Rasmussen 6.4% 7.6% 6.6% 7.4% 8.8% 6.7% 7.7% 8.0% 7.9% 7.2% 7.5% 7.0% 6.2% 3.8% 1.2%
Carter Pemberton 9.5% 9.8% 9.0% 7.4% 9.0% 8.7% 7.6% 9.0% 8.5% 6.2% 4.9% 5.4% 3.2% 1.6% 0.2%
Christopher Keller 4.8% 5.4% 5.3% 5.9% 5.2% 6.2% 7.6% 7.1% 7.6% 10.4% 8.9% 8.1% 9.5% 5.9% 2.1%
Colin Richards 5.2% 4.3% 5.1% 4.4% 5.2% 6.1% 6.8% 6.6% 9.0% 8.7% 7.7% 8.9% 9.5% 7.8% 4.7%
Audrey Giblin 12.3% 13.5% 8.6% 10.0% 11.0% 9.0% 7.5% 7.1% 6.4% 5.2% 3.6% 2.6% 2.1% 1.0% 0.1%
Ed Lebens 3.1% 3.4% 4.5% 3.7% 5.1% 6.6% 6.5% 6.7% 7.1% 7.2% 10.4% 9.7% 11.0% 10.5% 4.5%
Alexander Vasiliou 6.2% 5.6% 6.0% 7.7% 7.5% 7.9% 7.8% 8.3% 7.6% 8.4% 7.6% 7.0% 6.4% 4.4% 1.6%
Ben Palmer 0.9% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 0.9% 1.7% 1.6% 2.6% 2.9% 2.1% 4.9% 5.6% 8.1% 17.3% 47.8%
Caelan Juckniess 3.0% 2.3% 2.8% 3.7% 4.3% 5.1% 6.0% 5.3% 5.5% 7.0% 8.9% 12.1% 13.3% 13.3% 7.4%
Patrick Isherwood 8.1% 7.8% 7.4% 9.3% 7.5% 9.1% 6.9% 8.9% 8.1% 7.2% 7.0% 6.6% 3.5% 1.5% 1.1%
Alexander Bowen 4.4% 4.6% 5.7% 6.3% 6.0% 5.5% 6.6% 6.9% 6.9% 9.0% 8.6% 9.6% 8.9% 7.7% 3.3%
Lucie Ford 1.4% 1.4% 3.1% 2.5% 2.3% 2.5% 3.4% 2.8% 4.4% 5.1% 6.7% 8.4% 10.8% 20.6% 24.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.