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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
William Simon 9.7% 10.2% 12.2% 13.2% 14.0% 14.0% 12.5% 8.9% 3.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
T. Max Bulger 17.9% 19.8% 14.6% 14.4% 13.2% 10.0% 6.3% 2.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Cecilia Strombeck 24.9% 20.6% 17.5% 13.5% 11.4% 7.2% 2.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Denney 10.6% 12.0% 13.8% 12.8% 12.1% 13.7% 13.1% 6.3% 4.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Thomas Chronert 7.7% 8.0% 10.7% 13.0% 12.3% 14.2% 12.3% 10.4% 8.0% 3.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Helen Lord 16.3% 15.5% 16.1% 14.8% 11.8% 11.1% 7.8% 4.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Douglas Young 3.9% 4.0% 3.7% 5.2% 7.2% 8.9% 12.0% 17.6% 17.3% 14.1% 5.4% 0.7%
Zachary O'Brien 5.2% 6.0% 5.4% 6.5% 9.7% 10.1% 13.9% 17.0% 16.0% 7.5% 2.6% 0.1%
Nace Cohen 1.3% 1.3% 2.3% 2.4% 3.5% 5.9% 9.1% 13.3% 19.6% 29.0% 11.0% 1.3%
Zachary Foreman 1.7% 2.0% 2.7% 3.4% 3.9% 3.9% 8.1% 12.4% 21.0% 27.4% 11.5% 2.0%
Korey Charles 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 2.6% 3.4% 8.6% 35.8% 46.0%
Marco Catipovic 0.3% 0.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 1.6% 2.7% 3.1% 7.7% 32.8% 49.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.