← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tulane University2.02+7.57vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.10+9.07vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.99+6.50vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.42+1.13vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University1.97+4.66vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.04+4.51vs Predicted
-
7University of Pennsylvania1.77+2.05vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University2.38-0.78vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College2.10+1.47vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University3.30-5.90vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.22+0.68vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University1.15+0.06vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-3.79vs Predicted
-
14Georgetown University2.20-5.56vs Predicted
-
15College of Charleston1.81-5.02vs Predicted
-
16Boston College2.09-7.43vs Predicted
-
17Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92-3.96vs Predicted
-
18Old Dominion University0.97-5.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.57Tulane University2.025.1%1st Place
-
11.07Harvard University2.103.8%1st Place
-
9.5Brown University1.994.7%1st Place
-
5.13Yale University2.4214.1%1st Place
-
9.66Roger Williams University1.974.0%1st Place
-
10.51U. S. Naval Academy2.043.0%1st Place
-
9.05University of Pennsylvania1.775.1%1st Place
-
7.22Cornell University2.387.3%1st Place
-
10.47Dartmouth College2.103.0%1st Place
-
4.1Stanford University3.3019.3%1st Place
-
11.68Northeastern University1.222.7%1st Place
-
12.06Tufts University1.152.6%1st Place
-
9.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.775.2%1st Place
-
8.44Georgetown University2.205.7%1st Place
-
9.98College of Charleston1.813.9%1st Place
-
8.57Boston College2.095.7%1st Place
-
13.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.922.1%1st Place
-
12.72Old Dominion University0.972.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Gardner | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Cordelia Burn | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 14.1% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Bridget Green | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Young | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 19.3% | 17.6% | 16.1% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 11.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.3% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% |
| Deana Fedulova | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 21.6% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.