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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.92+4.82vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.05+6.60vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.33+1.54vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.60+2.90vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.81+1.33vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.20+2.32vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.47+0.33vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.06-2.53vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.43-1.59vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-0.17vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.72-4.41vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.10-0.05vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.89-3.40vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-5.47vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.57-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.82Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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8.6University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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4.54Yale University3.330.2%1st Place
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6.9Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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6.33Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.32Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
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7.33Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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5.47Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.41Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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9.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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6.59University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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11.95Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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9.6Roger Williams University1.890.0%1st Place
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8.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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12.78Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Clapp | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Colin Richards | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 3.3% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 15.4% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Carter Pemberton | 8.9% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Keller | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 2.2% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Audrey Giblin | 12.1% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 7.7% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 22.4% | 25.9% |
| Ed Lebens | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 7.2% |
| Alexander Bowen | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 3.1% |
| Ben Palmer | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 11.7% | 17.4% | 44.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.