← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College2.81+5.16vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University1.10+9.50vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island2.72+3.38vs Predicted
-
4Boston University2.60+2.95vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+3.66vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College3.06-0.59vs Predicted
-
7Yale University3.33-2.39vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.43-0.48vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College2.92-3.24vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont2.05-1.12vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-1.22vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University2.20-3.44vs Predicted
-
13Boston College2.47-5.40vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University0.57-1.08vs Predicted
-
15Roger Williams University1.89-5.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.16Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
-
11.5Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
-
6.38University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
-
6.95Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
-
8.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
-
5.41Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
-
4.61Yale University3.330.2%1st Place
-
7.52Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
-
5.76Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
-
8.88University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
-
9.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
-
8.56Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
-
7.6Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
-
12.92Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
-
9.3Roger Williams University1.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Pemberton | 9.9% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 20.9% | 21.4% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Alexander Bowen | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 4.2% |
| Audrey Giblin | 12.7% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 15.9% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Max Clapp | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Colin Richards | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 4.7% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 7.6% |
| Christopher Keller | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Ben Palmer | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 15.8% | 48.1% |
| Ed Lebens | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.