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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.92+4.79vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.47+5.17vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.43+4.46vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.20+4.28vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.89+4.35vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+3.77vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.72-0.52vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.60-1.04vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.81-2.86vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.57+2.95vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.33-6.23vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.05-2.95vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.06-7.34vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-5.43vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.10-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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7.17Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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7.46Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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8.28Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
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9.35Roger Williams University1.890.0%1st Place
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9.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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6.48University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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6.96Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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6.14Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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12.95Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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4.77Yale University3.330.2%1st Place
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9.05University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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5.66Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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11.6Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Clapp | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Keller | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 3.0% |
| Ed Lebens | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 5.3% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 7.3% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 9.9% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Carter Pemberton | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 16.5% | 48.7% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 15.4% | 16.0% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Colin Richards | 4.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 4.4% |
| Audrey Giblin | 11.6% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Bowen | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 21.1% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.