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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.09+5.06vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.71+5.18vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.14+2.88vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.82+3.05vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.15+1.04vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.89+4.28vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.77+3.48vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.68-0.42vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.93-2.42vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.49-5.05vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.59+0.07vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-0.15vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.49-4.56vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.78-3.49vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-8.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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7.18Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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5.88Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.05Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.04Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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10.28Bowdoin College1.890.0%1st Place
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10.48University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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7.58Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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6.58University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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4.95Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.07Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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11.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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8.44Dartmouth College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.51Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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6.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Greenhouse | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Walter Florio | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Jackson McCoy | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Sophia Reineke | 11.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Michael Kann | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 9.7% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 14.7% |
| Preston Duclos | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Luke Ingalls | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 13.4% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Joey Lark | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 22.3% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 17.2% | 28.8% |
| Kathryn Hall | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 15.3% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 9.4% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.