← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.49+7.10vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.09+3.97vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.14+2.95vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.68+3.49vs Predicted
-
5Yale University2.82+2.16vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College2.71+1.45vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island2.93-0.42vs Predicted
-
8Boston College3.15-2.03vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40+2.66vs Predicted
-
10Boston University3.49-5.06vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont1.77-0.48vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College1.89-1.59vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-6.67vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University1.78-3.54vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University1.59-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.1Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
-
5.97Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
-
5.95Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
-
7.49Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
-
7.16Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
-
7.45Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
-
6.58University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
-
5.97Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
-
11.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
-
4.94Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
-
10.52University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
-
10.41Bowdoin College1.890.0%1st Place
-
6.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
-
10.46Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
-
10.99Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kathryn Hall | 6.9% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jackson McCoy | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Preston Duclos | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Walter Florio | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Luke Ingalls | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Sophia Reineke | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 26.5% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 13.4% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 16.0% |
| Michael Kann | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 13.3% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 13.9% |
| Joey Lark | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 17.5% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.