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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.71+6.12vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.93+4.33vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.89+6.87vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.15+1.75vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.82+1.96vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.09-0.06vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.14-1.25vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.68-0.68vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.78+1.38vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.77+0.46vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.49-6.15vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-0.30vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.59-1.93vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.28-5.39vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.49-7.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.12Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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6.33University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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9.87Bowdoin College1.890.0%1st Place
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5.75Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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6.96Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.94Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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5.75Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.32Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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10.38Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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10.46University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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4.85Boston University3.490.2%1st Place
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11.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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11.07Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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8.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.280.0%1st Place
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7.9Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Florio | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Luke Ingalls | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Michael Kann | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 9.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 11.6% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Jackson McCoy | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Preston Duclos | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 13.4% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 13.8% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 15.2% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 27.9% |
| Joey Lark | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 20.7% |
| Jesse McKnight | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% |
| Kathryn Hall | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.