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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.93+5.34vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.71+4.99vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.09+2.91vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.89+5.96vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.14+0.86vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40+5.46vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.15-1.33vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.49-0.02vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.78+1.32vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.77+0.48vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.49-6.18vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.82-4.92vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.68-5.34vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.28-5.39vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.59-4.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.34University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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6.99Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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5.91Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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9.96Bowdoin College1.890.0%1st Place
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5.86Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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11.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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5.67Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.98Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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10.32Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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10.48University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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4.82Boston University3.490.2%1st Place
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7.08Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.66Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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8.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.280.0%1st Place
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10.86Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Ingalls | 10.0% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Walter Florio | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Michael Kann | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 11.8% |
| Jackson McCoy | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 18.3% | 24.5% |
| Sophia Reineke | 12.6% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Kathryn Hall | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 13.5% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 15.5% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 15.5% | 16.8% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Preston Duclos | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Jesse McKnight | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% |
| Joey Lark | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.