Race 5C

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Jackson McCoy 10.9% 12.0% 11.6% 10.1% 8.7% 8.9% 7.8% 5.8% 6.6% 6.1% 4.3% 3.4% 1.5% 1.7% 0.6%
Timothy Greenhouse 10.6% 11.3% 10.7% 9.7% 9.6% 9.8% 7.6% 7.4% 6.1% 5.5% 5.2% 3.8% 1.6% 0.9% 0.2%
Luke Ingalls 7.7% 8.9% 10.1% 9.1% 8.7% 8.2% 9.3% 6.9% 8.2% 6.9% 6.7% 4.7% 2.9% 1.2% 0.5%
Kathryn Hall 5.3% 5.8% 5.9% 7.5% 8.3% 6.4% 7.5% 7.2% 7.2% 8.1% 8.2% 8.0% 6.8% 5.2% 2.6%
Sophia Reineke 11.6% 9.9% 10.4% 8.7% 9.6% 8.8% 9.2% 8.3% 6.2% 5.8% 3.2% 3.8% 2.9% 1.3% 0.3%
Christos Karplus 1.9% 2.5% 1.5% 2.8% 2.4% 2.7% 3.6% 3.5% 3.4% 4.9% 7.9% 8.1% 12.2% 17.2% 25.4%
Michael Kann 3.5% 3.2% 3.6% 3.9% 3.7% 4.1% 5.0% 6.0% 6.9% 6.0% 9.7% 9.8% 11.5% 11.5% 11.6%
Walter Florio 7.6% 7.1% 6.7% 8.1% 7.8% 7.6% 7.2% 7.4% 8.8% 7.3% 7.6% 6.5% 5.2% 3.0% 2.1%
Caleb Niles 2.3% 2.4% 2.7% 3.9% 4.1% 3.0% 5.9% 5.3% 6.3% 7.6% 7.8% 11.5% 10.7% 14.1% 12.4%
Vincent Yannelli 2.7% 2.7% 2.3% 2.7% 2.9% 4.7% 4.1% 5.9% 6.2% 8.0% 8.4% 9.6% 12.0% 12.3% 15.5%
Jesse McKnight 4.1% 5.3% 5.0% 5.6% 5.4% 8.0% 5.3% 6.5% 7.5% 8.3% 7.6% 7.0% 10.8% 7.9% 5.7%
Dylan DiMarchi 7.1% 5.7% 8.7% 8.6% 7.5% 8.6% 7.5% 9.3% 7.0% 8.1% 6.7% 6.5% 4.3% 3.1% 1.3%
Preston Duclos 6.3% 6.1% 6.3% 6.3% 7.7% 7.4% 8.2% 8.6% 9.3% 7.4% 7.5% 7.8% 5.5% 4.0% 1.6%
Joey Lark 1.7% 2.5% 2.3% 3.0% 2.9% 4.0% 4.6% 5.0% 5.4% 6.4% 6.9% 8.1% 11.2% 15.9% 20.1%
Javier De urdanibia panos 16.7% 14.6% 12.2% 10.0% 10.7% 7.8% 7.2% 6.9% 4.9% 3.6% 2.3% 1.4% 0.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.