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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
T. Max Bulger 18.3% 16.5% 15.5% 18.5% 12.3% 8.7% 5.4% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Cecilia Strombeck 25.1% 21.7% 18.4% 12.6% 11.1% 5.5% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Denney 12.0% 10.7% 12.8% 11.4% 13.8% 14.4% 12.8% 7.9% 3.2% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William Simon 9.2% 12.4% 12.4% 14.3% 12.4% 13.2% 11.2% 9.6% 4.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Helen Lord 15.7% 16.7% 15.6% 14.0% 12.3% 11.2% 7.2% 4.2% 2.0% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Chronert 8.1% 9.1% 8.8% 10.5% 13.5% 13.9% 13.0% 12.3% 7.1% 3.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Nace Cohen 1.8% 2.5% 2.0% 3.0% 3.0% 6.0% 8.9% 11.0% 19.6% 27.8% 11.0% 3.4%
Douglas Young 3.5% 3.3% 4.5% 5.9% 6.2% 9.3% 12.0% 16.8% 19.9% 14.6% 3.7% 0.3%
Zachary O'Brien 3.8% 4.7% 6.2% 5.9% 10.9% 11.4% 15.3% 18.4% 13.8% 7.9% 1.7% 0.0%
Zachary Foreman 1.5% 2.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.3% 5.0% 8.3% 12.0% 20.5% 26.7% 13.0% 1.7%
Korey Charles 0.7% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 2.0% 4.3% 7.7% 36.8% 45.4%
Marco Catipovic 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 1.3% 1.2% 4.0% 8.3% 33.4% 49.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.