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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.76+2.64vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.03+1.04vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.25+0.64vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.19-1.26vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.60-3.06vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.91-2.64vs Predicted
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10Yale University0.32-1.58vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.97-3.78vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.29-5.45vs Predicted
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14Yale University0.34-5.58vs Predicted
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15Amherst College-1.54-4.02vs Predicted
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16Amherst College-1.57-4.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64Tufts University2.760.2%1st Place
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3.04Brown University3.030.3%1st Place
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4.64Tufts University2.250.1%1st Place
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4.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.190.1%1st Place
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3.94Brown University2.600.2%1st Place
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5.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.910.1%1st Place
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8.42Yale University0.320.0%1st Place
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7.22University of Rhode Island0.970.0%1st Place
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6.55University of Rhode Island1.290.0%1st Place
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8.42Yale University0.340.0%1st Place
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10.98Amherst College-1.540.0%1st Place
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11.06Amherst College-1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Max Bulger | 18.3% | 16.5% | 15.5% | 18.5% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Strombeck | 25.1% | 21.7% | 18.4% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Denney | 12.0% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Simon | 9.2% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Helen Lord | 15.7% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Chronert | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nace Cohen | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 19.6% | 27.8% | 11.0% | 3.4% |
| Douglas Young | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 16.8% | 19.9% | 14.6% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Zachary O'Brien | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 15.3% | 18.4% | 13.8% | 7.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Foreman | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 20.5% | 26.7% | 13.0% | 1.7% |
| Korey Charles | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 36.8% | 45.4% |
| Marco Catipovic | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 4.0% | 8.3% | 33.4% | 49.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.