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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+6.21vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.30+2.22vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.04+7.51vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.20+4.51vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.02+3.52vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.42-0.91vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.22+4.77vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.09+0.41vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.97+0.82vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.10+0.95vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.77-1.87vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-2.63vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.81-3.02vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.97-1.22vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.99-5.59vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.10-5.84vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.15-4.73vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92-5.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.21Cornell University2.387.8%1st Place
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4.22Stanford University3.3019.1%1st Place
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10.51U. S. Naval Academy2.044.3%1st Place
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8.51Georgetown University2.205.3%1st Place
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8.52Tulane University2.026.2%1st Place
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5.09Yale University2.4213.9%1st Place
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11.77Northeastern University1.222.4%1st Place
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8.41Boston College2.096.2%1st Place
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9.82Roger Williams University1.973.8%1st Place
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10.95Harvard University2.102.7%1st Place
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9.13University of Pennsylvania1.775.1%1st Place
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9.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.9%1st Place
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9.98College of Charleston1.814.0%1st Place
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12.78Old Dominion University0.971.8%1st Place
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9.41Brown University1.993.5%1st Place
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10.16Dartmouth College2.104.5%1st Place
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12.27Tufts University1.152.1%1st Place
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12.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.922.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 19.1% | 17.0% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Samantha Gardner | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Carmen Cowles | 13.9% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.9% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Lucy Meagher | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% |
| Cordelia Burn | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 19.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Sarah Young | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 12.9% |
| Deana Fedulova | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 19.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.