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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.82+5.92vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.09+3.99vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.14+2.90vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.93+2.67vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.71+2.53vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.49-1.14vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.78+3.46vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.89+2.18vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.15-3.10vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.77+0.64vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.59+0.12vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-5.70vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.49-4.58vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-2.43vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.68-7.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.92Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.99Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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5.9Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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6.67University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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7.53Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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4.86Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.46Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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10.18Bowdoin College1.890.0%1st Place
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5.9Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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10.64University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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11.12Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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6.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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8.42Dartmouth College2.490.1%1st Place
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11.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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7.53Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan DiMarchi | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 9.0% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Jackson McCoy | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Luke Ingalls | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Walter Florio | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 14.6% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Niles | 4.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 13.8% |
| Michael Kann | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 11.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 16.5% |
| Joey Lark | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 16.7% | 21.4% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Kathryn Hall | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 17.7% | 26.6% |
| Preston Duclos | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.