← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.48+2.29vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+0.31vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University3.09-0.54vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.50-0.76vs Predicted
-
5Brown University1.94-0.98vs Predicted
-
6Bates College0.02-0.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.29Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
-
2.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.3%1st Place
-
2.46Roger Williams University3.090.3%1st Place
-
3.24Harvard University2.500.2%1st Place
-
4.02Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
-
5.67Bates College0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julien Guiot | 13.8% | 19.0% | 20.3% | 21.8% | 21.5% | 3.6% |
| Emily Haig | 33.6% | 27.2% | 20.2% | 12.6% | 5.9% | 0.5% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 28.7% | 27.0% | 21.0% | 16.6% | 6.1% | 0.6% |
| Jonas Nelle | 15.3% | 16.3% | 22.6% | 22.8% | 20.6% | 2.4% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 7.6% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 22.2% | 36.3% | 10.5% |
| Sarah Herde | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 9.6% | 82.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.