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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.48+2.27vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+0.32vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.94+0.91vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.09-1.50vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.50-1.68vs Predicted
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7Bates College0.02-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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2.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.3%1st Place
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3.91Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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2.5Roger Williams University3.090.3%1st Place
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3.32Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.67Bates College0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julien Guiot | 14.0% | 18.9% | 21.4% | 21.1% | 21.2% | 3.4% |
| Emily Haig | 33.9% | 26.4% | 19.4% | 14.6% | 5.4% | 0.3% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 9.1% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 22.2% | 37.2% | 7.7% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 28.0% | 26.2% | 22.3% | 15.3% | 7.5% | 0.7% |
| Jonas Nelle | 14.0% | 17.2% | 21.0% | 22.7% | 20.5% | 4.6% |
| Sarah Herde | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 8.2% | 83.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.