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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.48+2.31vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.09+0.51vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.94+0.91vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.50-0.75vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.02+0.67vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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2.51Roger Williams University3.090.3%1st Place
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3.91Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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3.25Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.67Bates College0.020.0%1st Place
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2.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julien Guiot | 14.6% | 16.5% | 21.5% | 21.9% | 21.7% | 3.8% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 29.3% | 25.0% | 21.0% | 15.5% | 8.1% | 1.1% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 9.5% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 20.1% | 37.4% | 8.6% |
| Jonas Nelle | 14.3% | 18.2% | 21.2% | 23.4% | 20.1% | 2.8% |
| Sarah Herde | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 83.4% |
| Emily Haig | 31.7% | 28.3% | 19.9% | 14.8% | 5.0% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.