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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+1.36vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.94+1.88vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.09-0.51vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.48-0.77vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.50-1.65vs Predicted
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6Bates College0.02-0.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.3%1st Place
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3.88Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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2.49Roger Williams University3.090.3%1st Place
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3.23Tufts University2.480.2%1st Place
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3.35Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.68Bates College0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Haig | 32.4% | 28.2% | 18.7% | 13.0% | 7.0% | 0.7% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 8.2% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 20.8% | 35.7% | 8.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 28.6% | 25.6% | 22.5% | 15.4% | 7.2% | 0.7% |
| Julien Guiot | 16.4% | 15.2% | 22.0% | 23.6% | 20.7% | 2.1% |
| Jonas Nelle | 13.6% | 17.3% | 20.5% | 22.6% | 20.9% | 5.1% |
| Sarah Herde | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 83.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.