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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+1.36vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.48+1.25vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.09-0.50vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.50-0.73vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.02+0.66vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.94-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.3%1st Place
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3.25Tufts University2.480.2%1st Place
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2.5Roger Williams University3.090.3%1st Place
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3.27Harvard University2.500.2%1st Place
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5.66Bates College0.020.0%1st Place
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3.97Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Haig | 31.9% | 27.5% | 20.8% | 12.9% | 6.4% | 0.5% |
| Julien Guiot | 15.9% | 18.9% | 18.2% | 22.7% | 20.4% | 3.9% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 28.1% | 25.3% | 23.5% | 15.4% | 7.1% | 0.6% |
| Jonas Nelle | 15.2% | 15.9% | 21.7% | 24.0% | 20.3% | 2.9% |
| Sarah Herde | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 83.5% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 8.3% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 20.7% | 38.6% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.