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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+1.34vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.09+0.50vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.48+0.25vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.50-0.77vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.94-0.99vs Predicted
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6Bates College0.02-0.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.3%1st Place
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2.5Roger Williams University3.090.3%1st Place
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3.25Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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3.23Harvard University2.500.2%1st Place
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4.01Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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5.68Bates College0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Haig | 31.9% | 28.6% | 20.0% | 13.2% | 5.4% | 0.9% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 29.3% | 25.4% | 21.6% | 14.8% | 7.8% | 1.1% |
| Julien Guiot | 14.9% | 16.9% | 21.2% | 24.9% | 19.9% | 2.2% |
| Jonas Nelle | 15.4% | 17.4% | 21.4% | 23.0% | 20.6% | 2.2% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 7.6% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 20.3% | 36.9% | 10.7% |
| Sarah Herde | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 9.4% | 82.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.