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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College3.65+9.50vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.53+13.36vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.19+5.19vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy4.16+4.18vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.61+5.67vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+3.61vs Predicted
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7University of Miami3.69+3.68vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.49+3.03vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University4.33-1.64vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University3.84-0.29vs Predicted
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11Harvard University4.17-2.75vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27-4.09vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.93-3.38vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin3.31-1.91vs Predicted
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15Brown University4.25-7.13vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.56-5.00vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College3.60-6.42vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.90-3.98vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont3.62-8.38vs Predicted
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20University of Washington2.13-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.5Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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15.36Boston University2.530.0%1st Place
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8.19Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.18U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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10.67Old Dominion University3.610.0%1st Place
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9.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.68University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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11.03University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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7.36Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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9.71Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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8.25Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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7.91St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
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9.62College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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12.09University of Wisconsin3.310.0%1st Place
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7.87Brown University4.250.1%1st Place
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11.0Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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10.58SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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14.02Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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10.62University of Vermont3.620.1%1st Place
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16.75University of Washington2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Whitford | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Mathew Renik | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 16.3% | 23.6% |
| Joseph Morris | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Martin Sterling | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Alan Alkins | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| David Hernandez | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Will Stocke | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Scott Furnary | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Clancy | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| John Stokes | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jesse Kirkland | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Leif Evensen | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 4.6% |
| William Brown | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| Harry Scott | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 12.5% |
| Coleman Bowen | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Bradley Sainsbury | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 15.8% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.