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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.76+2.65vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.25+2.60vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.97+4.23vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.19+0.78vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.60-1.10vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.03-2.85vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.29-1.46vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.91-4.79vs Predicted
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11Yale University0.34-2.53vs Predicted
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12Yale University0.32-3.57vs Predicted
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13Amherst College-1.54-2.00vs Predicted
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14Amherst College-1.57-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Tufts University2.760.2%1st Place
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4.6Tufts University2.250.1%1st Place
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7.23University of Rhode Island0.970.0%1st Place
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4.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.190.1%1st Place
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3.9Brown University2.600.2%1st Place
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3.15Brown University3.030.2%1st Place
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6.54University of Rhode Island1.290.1%1st Place
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5.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.910.1%1st Place
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8.47Yale University0.340.0%1st Place
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8.43Yale University0.320.0%1st Place
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11.0Amherst College-1.540.0%1st Place
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11.05Amherst College-1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Max Bulger | 17.9% | 16.1% | 17.6% | 15.7% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Denney | 10.4% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Young | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 17.0% | 19.7% | 14.2% | 4.7% | 0.3% |
| William Simon | 9.6% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Helen Lord | 15.7% | 16.1% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Strombeck | 23.9% | 22.0% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary O'Brien | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 17.9% | 13.7% | 8.5% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Chronert | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Foreman | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 21.0% | 28.7% | 10.7% | 1.3% |
| Nace Cohen | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 13.7% | 20.2% | 27.0% | 11.7% | 2.2% |
| Korey Charles | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 35.8% | 46.2% |
| Marco Catipovic | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 33.2% | 49.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.