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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.81+8.88vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.30+2.17vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.02+5.47vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.20+4.26vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.38+2.11vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.09+2.61vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.10+4.08vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.77+1.29vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.04+1.41vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-0.73vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.97-1.32vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.42-7.01vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.97-0.20vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.99-4.32vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.22-3.12vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.10-5.68vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.15-4.77vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92-5.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.88College of Charleston1.814.0%1st Place
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4.17Stanford University3.3019.6%1st Place
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8.47Tulane University2.025.9%1st Place
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8.26Georgetown University2.205.8%1st Place
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7.11Cornell University2.388.0%1st Place
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8.61Boston College2.095.8%1st Place
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11.08Harvard University2.103.4%1st Place
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9.29University of Pennsylvania1.775.0%1st Place
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10.41U. S. Naval Academy2.043.6%1st Place
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9.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.7%1st Place
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9.68Roger Williams University1.974.0%1st Place
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4.99Yale University2.4214.3%1st Place
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12.8Old Dominion University0.971.8%1st Place
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9.68Brown University1.994.2%1st Place
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11.88Northeastern University1.221.9%1st Place
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10.32Dartmouth College2.104.2%1st Place
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12.23Tufts University1.152.1%1st Place
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12.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.921.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 19.6% | 17.5% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Bridget Green | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Cordelia Burn | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Carmen Cowles | 14.3% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 16.7% |
| Katharine Doble | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.1% |
| Sarah Young | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 14.2% |
| Deana Fedulova | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.