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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.60+3.43vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+0.57vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.59-0.33vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College1.44+3.43vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.84+1.46vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.04-0.13vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan1.40+0.54vs Predicted
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8Columbia University1.52-0.73vs Predicted
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9Princeton University0.14+1.92vs Predicted
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10Washington College0.80-0.74vs Predicted
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11Columbia University-0.24+0.75vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University0.64-2.14vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.23-1.17vs Predicted
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14Amherst College-2.18+0.45vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.33-7.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.43Fordham University2.600.1%1st Place
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2.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.3%1st Place
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2.67Stanford University3.590.3%1st Place
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7.43SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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6.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.840.1%1st Place
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5.87Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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7.54University of Michigan1.400.0%1st Place
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7.27Columbia University1.520.0%1st Place
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10.92Princeton University0.140.0%1st Place
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9.26Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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11.75Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.86Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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11.83SUNY Stony Brook-0.230.0%1st Place
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14.45Amherst College-2.180.0%1st Place
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7.69Tufts University1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Seferian | 12.8% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 16.5% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 31.2% | 26.5% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Parkin | 27.6% | 26.1% | 20.5% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Molesky | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Cullen | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Haag | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Sullivan | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 19.1% | 16.7% | 2.8% |
| William Sunkler | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 18.8% | 26.8% | 8.9% |
| Lillian Vincens | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Lithen | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 13.5% | 19.8% | 27.9% | 7.5% |
| Luke Haggerty | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 11.5% | 77.9% |
| Nicholas Giacobbe | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.