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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.63+2.20vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.68+5.49vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.87+1.70vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40-0.36vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56+0.51vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College1.29+0.13vs Predicted
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7Columbia University0.51+0.87vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.73-2.87vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-1.66+3.43vs Predicted
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10Washington College-0.76+0.78vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University-0.71-0.37vs Predicted
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12Columbia University-1.32-0.03vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-1.08-1.52vs Predicted
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14Amherst College-3.44+0.51vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.96-10.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2Stanford University2.630.2%1st Place
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7.49University of Michigan0.680.0%1st Place
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4.7Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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3.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.2%1st Place
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5.51U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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6.13SUNY Maritime College1.290.1%1st Place
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7.87Columbia University0.510.0%1st Place
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5.13Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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12.43SUNY Stony Brook-1.660.0%1st Place
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10.78Washington College-0.760.0%1st Place
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10.63Fairfield University-0.710.0%1st Place
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11.97Columbia University-1.320.0%1st Place
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11.48Princeton University-1.080.0%1st Place
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14.51Amherst College-3.440.0%1st Place
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4.52Tufts University1.960.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria El-Khazindar | 23.9% | 21.5% | 18.2% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Neubauer | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Josep Costa | 11.4% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 18.3% | 19.7% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Wilcenski | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Edwards | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gaura Mudgal | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 21.1% | 30.8% | 8.6% |
| Andrew Houghton | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 17.7% | 18.6% | 15.3% | 8.6% | 2.4% |
| Matthew Fanelli | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 17.4% | 14.3% | 9.8% | 1.4% |
| Charles Johnson | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 13.0% | 16.8% | 22.6% | 23.0% | 5.3% |
| Elizabeth Bailey | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 19.8% | 18.6% | 17.9% | 3.3% |
| Amanda Temares | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 79.0% |
| Austen Freda | 11.7% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.