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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.87+3.74vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+1.57vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.96+1.56vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College1.18+2.38vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.73+0.21vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56-0.44vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan1.28-0.81vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.63-4.73vs Predicted
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9Columbia University0.51-1.10vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-0.71+0.35vs Predicted
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11Washington College-0.76-0.58vs Predicted
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12Columbia University-1.32-0.55vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-1.66-1.07vs Predicted
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14Amherst College-3.44-0.28vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-5.15-0.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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3.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.2%1st Place
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4.56Tufts University1.960.1%1st Place
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6.38SUNY Maritime College1.180.1%1st Place
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5.21Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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5.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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6.19University of Michigan1.280.1%1st Place
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3.27Stanford University2.630.2%1st Place
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7.9Columbia University0.510.0%1st Place
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10.35Fairfield University-0.710.0%1st Place
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10.42Washington College-0.760.0%1st Place
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11.45Columbia University-1.320.0%1st Place
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11.93SUNY Stony Brook-1.660.0%1st Place
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13.72Amherst College-3.440.0%1st Place
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14.77Princeton University-5.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josep Costa | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 18.8% | 20.4% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austen Freda | 13.2% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sesack | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Goulet | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 23.5% | 19.9% | 17.3% | 13.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Edwards | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 21.8% | 17.5% | 9.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Fanelli | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 8.9% | 18.2% | 23.7% | 22.0% | 9.1% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Houghton | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 17.4% | 24.2% | 20.5% | 11.9% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Charles Johnson | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 10.8% | 17.9% | 26.9% | 27.2% | 6.3% | 0.2% |
| Gaura Mudgal | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 20.9% | 38.7% | 11.0% | 0.5% |
| Amanda Temares | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 10.1% | 65.3% | 14.6% |
| Riccardo Talini Lapi | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 11.8% | 84.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.