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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Rhode Island1.29+4.69vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.19+1.68vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.76-0.38vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.60-1.14vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.91-0.69vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.03-3.91vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.97-0.81vs Predicted
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9Yale University0.32-0.58vs Predicted
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11Yale University0.34-2.54vs Predicted
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12Amherst College-1.54-1.04vs Predicted
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13Amherst College-1.57-1.96vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.25-9.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.69University of Rhode Island1.290.0%1st Place
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4.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.190.1%1st Place
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3.62Tufts University2.760.2%1st Place
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3.86Brown University2.600.2%1st Place
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5.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.910.1%1st Place
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3.09Brown University3.030.3%1st Place
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7.19University of Rhode Island0.970.0%1st Place
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8.42Yale University0.320.0%1st Place
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8.46Yale University0.340.0%1st Place
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10.96Amherst College-1.540.0%1st Place
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11.04Amherst College-1.570.0%1st Place
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4.69Tufts University2.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary O'Brien | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 19.0% | 15.7% | 9.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| William Simon | 9.3% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| T. Max Bulger | 18.3% | 18.0% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Helen Lord | 16.5% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 16.3% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Chronert | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Strombeck | 25.2% | 21.0% | 17.1% | 14.4% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Young | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 17.0% | 20.0% | 13.3% | 4.7% | 0.4% |
| Nace Cohen | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 18.2% | 27.3% | 12.2% | 3.1% |
| Zachary Foreman | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 20.7% | 26.6% | 11.8% | 1.9% |
| Korey Charles | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 8.4% | 35.9% | 44.7% |
| Marco Catipovic | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 8.3% | 32.9% | 49.6% |
| Jacob Denney | 11.0% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.