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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.87+3.74vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.63+1.17vs Predicted
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3Columbia University0.51+4.84vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.96+0.59vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56+0.61vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40-2.34vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.73-1.85vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan1.28-1.83vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College1.18-2.62vs Predicted
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10Washington College-0.76+0.43vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-1.66+0.82vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University-0.71-1.48vs Predicted
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13Columbia University-1.32-1.57vs Predicted
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14Amherst College-3.44-0.27vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-5.15-0.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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3.17Stanford University2.630.2%1st Place
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7.84Columbia University0.510.0%1st Place
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4.59Tufts University1.960.1%1st Place
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5.61U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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3.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.2%1st Place
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5.15Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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6.17University of Michigan1.280.1%1st Place
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6.38SUNY Maritime College1.180.1%1st Place
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10.43Washington College-0.760.0%1st Place
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11.82SUNY Stony Brook-1.660.0%1st Place
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10.52Fairfield University-0.710.0%1st Place
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11.43Columbia University-1.320.0%1st Place
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13.73Amherst College-3.440.0%1st Place
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14.76Princeton University-5.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josep Costa | 11.6% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 24.4% | 21.7% | 18.0% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Edwards | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 13.3% | 19.9% | 18.2% | 10.6% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austen Freda | 12.5% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 16.9% | 20.0% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 10.2% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Goulet | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 15.9% | 11.9% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sesack | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 7.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Houghton | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 9.1% | 18.4% | 23.8% | 19.0% | 12.1% | 3.4% | 0.1% |
| Gaura Mudgal | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 8.7% | 14.5% | 20.6% | 34.5% | 11.6% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Fanelli | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 8.9% | 17.6% | 24.7% | 22.4% | 12.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Charles Johnson | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 27.8% | 27.7% | 6.1% | 0.3% |
| Amanda Temares | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 10.8% | 65.0% | 14.5% |
| Riccardo Talini Lapi | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 12.3% | 84.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.