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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.63+2.19vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+1.49vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.87+1.69vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.96+0.55vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.73+0.16vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56-0.47vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan0.68+0.54vs Predicted
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8Columbia University0.510.00vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College1.29-2.89vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.88+1.10vs Predicted
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11Columbia University-1.32+0.88vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University-0.71-1.10vs Predicted
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13Washington College-0.76-2.06vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-1.66-1.56vs Predicted
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15Amherst College-3.44-0.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19Stanford University2.630.2%1st Place
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3.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.2%1st Place
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4.69Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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4.55Tufts University1.960.1%1st Place
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5.16Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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5.53U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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7.54University of Michigan0.680.0%1st Place
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8.0Columbia University0.510.0%1st Place
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6.11SUNY Maritime College1.290.1%1st Place
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11.1Princeton University-0.880.0%1st Place
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11.88Columbia University-1.320.0%1st Place
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10.9Fairfield University-0.710.0%1st Place
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10.94Washington College-0.760.0%1st Place
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12.44SUNY Stony Brook-1.660.0%1st Place
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14.48Amherst College-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria El-Khazindar | 24.8% | 21.5% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 19.7% | 20.7% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josep Costa | 10.8% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austen Freda | 12.1% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 10.0% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Neubauer | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 18.1% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Edwards | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 19.0% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| John Wilcenski | 5.8% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Malte Londschien | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 18.9% | 17.0% | 13.3% | 2.6% |
| Charles Johnson | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 21.5% | 22.3% | 7.3% |
| Matthew Fanelli | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 12.7% | 18.0% | 19.3% | 17.0% | 10.3% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Houghton | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 19.3% | 17.7% | 10.4% | 1.7% |
| Gaura Mudgal | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 18.2% | 33.4% | 9.0% |
| Amanda Temares | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 78.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.