Race 1A

owlapalooza-2017

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
James Mcavoy 54.6% 27.6% 12.6% 4.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Catie Cullen 16.0% 26.1% 25.7% 18.6% 9.6% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Lipari 16.6% 22.0% 28.7% 17.6% 10.3% 3.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexandra Oyston 5.5% 9.4% 12.9% 22.7% 21.0% 14.4% 10.2% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexandra Oyston 5.5% 9.4% 12.9% 22.7% 21.0% 14.4% 10.2% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Lipari 16.6% 22.0% 28.7% 17.6% 10.3% 3.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Batton 2.5% 4.0% 6.0% 12.3% 17.6% 22.7% 21.9% 13.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arosh Chaudhari 1.3% 3.0% 3.5% 6.1% 12.1% 18.9% 22.6% 32.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Sofia Giordano 1.5% 2.2% 4.2% 6.6% 8.2% 15.1% 24.1% 38.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Aaron Comen 2.0% 5.7% 6.4% 12.0% 20.3% 21.7% 19.8% 12.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.