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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.25+3.67vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.76+0.56vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.19+0.75vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.60-1.11vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.03-2.87vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.91-1.66vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.97-0.79vs Predicted
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9Yale University0.32-0.55vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.29-3.44vs Predicted
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11Yale University0.34-2.60vs Predicted
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13Amherst College-1.54-2.02vs Predicted
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14Amherst College-1.57-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67Tufts University2.250.1%1st Place
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3.56Tufts University2.760.2%1st Place
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4.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.190.1%1st Place
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3.89Brown University2.600.2%1st Place
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3.13Brown University3.030.3%1st Place
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5.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.910.1%1st Place
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7.21University of Rhode Island0.970.0%1st Place
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8.45Yale University0.320.0%1st Place
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6.56University of Rhode Island1.290.0%1st Place
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8.4Yale University0.340.0%1st Place
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10.98Amherst College-1.540.0%1st Place
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11.05Amherst College-1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Denney | 11.2% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| T. Max Bulger | 18.1% | 18.7% | 16.5% | 16.5% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Simon | 11.2% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Helen Lord | 15.8% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Strombeck | 25.3% | 20.3% | 18.2% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Chronert | 7.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Young | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 17.6% | 18.8% | 13.6% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| Nace Cohen | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 18.9% | 28.9% | 13.0% | 2.2% |
| Zachary O'Brien | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 19.5% | 13.3% | 7.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Foreman | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 12.6% | 22.0% | 26.8% | 11.6% | 1.9% |
| Korey Charles | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 9.1% | 35.3% | 46.0% |
| Marco Catipovic | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 8.6% | 32.8% | 49.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.