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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+4.07vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.99+7.32vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.30+1.08vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.97+5.57vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.04+5.40vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.77+2.81vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.20+1.25vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.38-1.25vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.02-0.52vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92+2.77vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.09-2.67vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.10-1.16vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-3.86vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.22-2.39vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston1.81-5.36vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.15-4.24vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College0.70-3.30vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University0.97-5.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.07Yale University2.4213.7%1st Place
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9.32Brown University1.994.9%1st Place
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4.08Stanford University3.3019.7%1st Place
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9.57Roger Williams University1.974.8%1st Place
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10.4U. S. Naval Academy2.043.5%1st Place
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8.81University of Pennsylvania1.775.3%1st Place
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8.25Georgetown University2.206.0%1st Place
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6.75Cornell University2.388.8%1st Place
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8.48Tulane University2.025.7%1st Place
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12.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.921.7%1st Place
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8.33Boston College2.095.5%1st Place
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10.84Harvard University2.103.2%1st Place
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9.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.6%1st Place
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11.61Northeastern University1.222.8%1st Place
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9.64College of Charleston1.814.4%1st Place
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11.76Tufts University1.152.1%1st Place
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13.7Dartmouth College0.701.2%1st Place
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12.48Old Dominion University0.972.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 13.7% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 19.7% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.7% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| Bridget Green | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Deana Fedulova | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 16.6% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Cordelia Burn | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.6% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.5% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 26.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.