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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jacob Denney 11.2% 11.0% 11.6% 13.5% 14.6% 14.1% 11.4% 7.4% 3.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
T. Max Bulger 18.1% 18.7% 16.5% 16.5% 11.2% 9.4% 5.7% 2.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
William Simon 11.2% 10.3% 13.2% 11.0% 13.4% 14.1% 13.0% 8.6% 3.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Helen Lord 15.8% 16.1% 16.4% 14.3% 12.2% 11.8% 7.0% 4.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Cecilia Strombeck 25.3% 20.3% 18.2% 13.1% 9.2% 6.7% 4.7% 1.4% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Chronert 7.3% 10.1% 8.3% 11.4% 13.2% 13.9% 13.8% 10.9% 8.3% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Douglas Young 3.5% 4.5% 3.7% 5.7% 6.5% 8.8% 11.8% 17.6% 18.8% 13.6% 4.8% 0.7%
Nace Cohen 1.7% 2.1% 2.8% 2.8% 3.9% 4.7% 8.4% 10.6% 18.9% 28.9% 13.0% 2.2%
Zachary O'Brien 3.7% 4.1% 5.4% 8.0% 10.2% 11.5% 14.8% 19.5% 13.3% 7.7% 1.8% 0.0%
Zachary Foreman 1.3% 2.3% 3.1% 2.9% 4.4% 3.9% 7.2% 12.6% 22.0% 26.8% 11.6% 1.9%
Korey Charles 0.6% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.9% 2.6% 3.3% 9.1% 35.3% 46.0%
Marco Catipovic 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 1.3% 1.6% 4.0% 8.6% 32.8% 49.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.