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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.16+0.77vs Predicted
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2Tulane University-1.61+2.75vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University0.00-0.12vs Predicted
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4University of Texas0.65-1.78vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University-2.06+0.30vs Predicted
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6Loyola University New Orleans-2.86+0.16vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University0.00-4.12vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University-2.06-2.70vs Predicted
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9University of Texas-1.87-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77Tulane University1.160.5%1st Place
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4.75Tulane University-1.610.0%1st Place
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2.88Texas A&M University0.000.1%1st Place
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2.22University of Texas0.650.3%1st Place
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5.3Texas A&M University-2.060.0%1st Place
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6.16Loyola University New Orleans-2.860.0%1st Place
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2.88Texas A&M University0.000.1%1st Place
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5.3Texas A&M University-2.060.0%1st Place
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4.92University of Texas-1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Berg | 49.6% | 30.3% | 14.2% | 5.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Tichenor | 2.5% | 4.5% | 9.4% | 24.5% | 26.9% | 22.4% | 9.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Kendrick | 13.8% | 22.8% | 35.9% | 18.5% | 7.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 28.6% | 35.1% | 24.3% | 9.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Carugati | 1.7% | 2.3% | 6.0% | 15.9% | 23.5% | 30.0% | 20.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Burtchaell | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 6.6% | 13.3% | 18.9% | 57.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Kendrick | 13.8% | 22.8% | 35.9% | 18.5% | 7.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Carugati | 1.7% | 2.3% | 6.0% | 15.9% | 23.5% | 30.0% | 20.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Young | 3.0% | 3.9% | 8.0% | 19.9% | 25.9% | 26.9% | 12.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.