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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+7.19vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.99+7.27vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.30+0.90vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.77+4.65vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.38+1.98vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.81+3.86vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.42-2.06vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.15+4.06vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92+3.66vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.09-1.76vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.04-0.66vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-2.71vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.97-3.53vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.10-3.27vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University0.97-2.36vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.02-7.45vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.22-5.42vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College0.70-4.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.19Georgetown University2.206.5%1st Place
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9.27Brown University1.994.3%1st Place
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3.9Stanford University3.3021.2%1st Place
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8.65University of Pennsylvania1.775.8%1st Place
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6.98Cornell University2.388.8%1st Place
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9.86College of Charleston1.814.2%1st Place
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4.94Yale University2.4215.3%1st Place
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12.06Tufts University1.152.1%1st Place
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12.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.921.7%1st Place
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8.24Boston College2.094.5%1st Place
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10.34U. S. Naval Academy2.043.4%1st Place
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9.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.773.2%1st Place
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9.47Roger Williams University1.974.3%1st Place
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10.73Harvard University2.103.2%1st Place
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12.64Old Dominion University0.971.5%1st Place
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8.55Tulane University2.025.2%1st Place
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11.58Northeastern University1.222.9%1st Place
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13.65Dartmouth College0.701.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Katharine Doble | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 21.2% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Bridget Green | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Carmen Cowles | 15.3% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 10.3% |
| Deana Fedulova | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 15.8% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 14.4% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 1.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.