Race 8B

owlapalooza-2017

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Mary Berg 59.4% 25.9% 10.4% 3.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel Kendrick 16.7% 29.2% 25.7% 16.3% 9.0% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Caroline Bik 12.1% 19.3% 26.3% 19.5% 13.4% 6.3% 2.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Sean Tichenor 2.6% 7.6% 9.9% 13.8% 19.3% 20.8% 17.5% 8.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Carter Young 2.7% 3.9% 7.6% 11.6% 18.3% 20.2% 22.9% 12.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Megan Carugati 2.7% 3.2% 6.2% 11.6% 14.3% 19.6% 23.3% 19.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel Kendrick 16.7% 29.2% 25.7% 16.3% 9.0% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Megan Carugati 2.7% 3.2% 6.2% 11.6% 14.3% 19.6% 23.3% 19.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Burtchaell 1.1% 1.8% 3.4% 4.5% 5.3% 11.3% 20.0% 52.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Marisa Soto 2.7% 9.1% 10.5% 19.1% 19.7% 19.1% 13.4% 6.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.