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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University0.67+2.77vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.79-0.79vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota0.39+0.35vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.41-2.31vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-1.69+1.91vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-0.58-0.95vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.99-1.14vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-1.00-2.15vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota-0.44-4.21vs Predicted
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11Lake Forest College-2.04-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Marquette University0.670.1%1st Place
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2.21University of Wisconsin1.790.4%1st Place
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4.35University of Minnesota0.390.1%1st Place
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2.69University of Wisconsin1.410.2%1st Place
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7.91Purdue University-1.690.0%1st Place
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6.05Purdue University-0.580.0%1st Place
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6.86Hope College-0.990.0%1st Place
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6.85Marquette University-1.000.0%1st Place
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5.79University of Minnesota-0.440.0%1st Place
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8.53Lake Forest College-2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Sessions | 13.6% | 15.3% | 19.2% | 18.2% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Tom Groskopf | 37.6% | 28.3% | 18.4% | 10.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cailin Oakes | 10.0% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 19.0% | 15.5% | 9.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Schmidt | 24.2% | 28.2% | 20.9% | 14.9% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 24.9% | 29.2% |
| Mark Hurt | 4.3% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 17.5% | 14.6% | 9.7% | 5.1% |
| Caroline Ritter | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 18.9% | 19.5% | 15.8% | 9.1% |
| Nicholas Carney | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 15.7% | 18.6% | 18.8% | 8.9% |
| Maya Smith | 4.2% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 7.0% | 3.3% |
| Katy Shadek | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 14.0% | 20.6% | 44.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.