Race 2A

pere-marquette

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Tom Groskopf 40.1% 27.5% 16.0% 9.3% 4.7% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Bobby Sessions 12.0% 14.4% 19.4% 19.1% 14.6% 11.5% 5.6% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Patrick Schmidt 25.4% 24.9% 22.0% 15.4% 8.2% 2.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Cailin Oakes 7.9% 12.2% 16.5% 19.2% 17.2% 12.9% 8.8% 3.9% 1.2% 0.2%
Mark Hurt 4.1% 6.1% 7.2% 8.0% 11.5% 15.6% 19.9% 13.7% 10.6% 3.3%
Caroline Ritter 3.0% 4.2% 4.0% 5.5% 9.6% 14.6% 13.7% 17.6% 17.3% 10.5%
Emily Allen 1.1% 1.1% 1.7% 2.6% 4.8% 8.0% 10.9% 14.6% 25.3% 29.9%
Nicholas Carney 2.2% 2.8% 4.7% 7.2% 10.6% 12.5% 14.0% 19.8% 16.6% 9.6%
Maya Smith 3.5% 5.7% 7.2% 11.2% 15.4% 15.2% 17.0% 14.6% 7.6% 2.6%
Katy Shadek 0.7% 1.1% 1.3% 2.5% 3.4% 5.4% 8.2% 12.7% 20.9% 43.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.