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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Marquette University0.67+1.74vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.41-0.32vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.79-1.79vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.58+1.12vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-1.69+1.92vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-0.44-1.25vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota0.39-3.68vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-1.00-2.18vs Predicted
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10Lake Forest College-2.04-1.43vs Predicted
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11Hope College-0.99-4.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74Marquette University0.670.2%1st Place
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2.68University of Wisconsin1.410.3%1st Place
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2.21University of Wisconsin1.790.4%1st Place
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6.12Purdue University-0.580.0%1st Place
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7.92Purdue University-1.690.0%1st Place
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5.75University of Minnesota-0.440.1%1st Place
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4.32University of Minnesota0.390.1%1st Place
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6.82Marquette University-1.000.0%1st Place
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8.57Lake Forest College-2.040.0%1st Place
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6.85Hope College-0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Sessions | 15.2% | 13.8% | 19.8% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Schmidt | 26.0% | 26.4% | 20.0% | 15.1% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tom Groskopf | 37.8% | 27.1% | 18.9% | 10.6% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurt | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 16.9% | 20.1% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 3.4% |
| Emily Allen | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 15.3% | 25.7% | 27.7% |
| Maya Smith | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 7.3% | 3.5% |
| Cailin Oakes | 6.9% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 19.9% | 17.9% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Carney | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 20.5% | 16.0% | 9.2% |
| Katy Shadek | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 19.9% | 46.3% |
| Caroline Ritter | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 16.3% | 18.3% | 17.6% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.