Race 4A

pere-marquette

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Tom Groskopf 39.8% 28.1% 15.7% 9.0% 4.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Schmidt 25.7% 26.3% 21.5% 13.7% 7.6% 3.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Allen 1.4% 1.6% 2.2% 3.2% 5.6% 5.9% 8.0% 15.7% 26.0% 30.4%
Cailin Oakes 7.9% 12.3% 16.4% 18.8% 16.2% 14.8% 7.6% 4.5% 1.3% 0.2%
Bobby Sessions 12.9% 15.1% 18.1% 21.2% 16.1% 9.1% 4.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Caroline Ritter 2.9% 2.8% 4.9% 5.2% 10.3% 11.4% 17.9% 19.0% 16.4% 9.2%
Maya Smith 3.2% 5.1% 7.9% 9.9% 15.0% 18.6% 17.7% 12.3% 7.3% 3.0%
Mark Hurt 3.3% 4.9% 7.9% 10.4% 11.3% 15.0% 18.7% 15.9% 8.8% 3.8%
Nicholas Carney 2.1% 3.2% 4.1% 5.6% 10.1% 14.7% 15.2% 18.3% 17.4% 9.3%
Katy Shadek 0.8% 0.6% 1.3% 3.0% 2.9% 5.4% 8.1% 11.7% 22.2% 44.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.