Race 5A

pere-marquette

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Tom Groskopf 39.8% 27.2% 16.9% 8.3% 4.5% 2.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Cailin Oakes 9.0% 11.9% 14.6% 18.8% 17.5% 14.0% 8.3% 4.1% 1.6% 0.2%
Bobby Sessions 12.7% 13.8% 18.0% 20.3% 16.7% 10.5% 5.5% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Patrick Schmidt 24.3% 29.2% 20.6% 14.6% 7.3% 2.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Mark Hurt 4.2% 5.1% 7.2% 9.2% 11.8% 17.2% 16.8% 14.9% 10.3% 3.3%
Emily Allen 1.5% 2.0% 2.7% 2.9% 4.8% 7.5% 11.2% 14.5% 23.8% 29.1%
Katy Shadek 0.8% 0.5% 1.5% 2.7% 2.0% 4.6% 7.7% 13.3% 21.7% 45.2%
Maya Smith 3.7% 5.2% 9.2% 9.7% 16.2% 15.3% 16.6% 12.3% 9.5% 2.3%
Caroline Ritter 2.0% 2.4% 4.7% 6.7% 9.5% 14.3% 14.3% 19.5% 17.7% 8.9%
Nicholas Carney 2.0% 2.7% 4.6% 6.8% 9.7% 11.8% 17.4% 18.9% 15.1% 11.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.