Race 6A

pere-marquette

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Tom Groskopf 39.8% 28.3% 16.2% 8.7% 4.0% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Schmidt 26.0% 26.0% 21.2% 13.9% 8.0% 3.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Cailin Oakes 10.1% 9.6% 15.2% 18.1% 19.1% 12.9% 9.5% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3%
Emily Allen 0.7% 1.5% 2.4% 3.4% 4.4% 7.3% 10.3% 15.7% 26.3% 28.0%
Bobby Sessions 12.2% 16.7% 19.1% 19.9% 13.8% 10.8% 4.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Katy Shadek 0.6% 1.6% 2.0% 2.5% 3.8% 5.5% 7.7% 10.8% 20.6% 44.9%
Maya Smith 3.5% 4.5% 7.7% 10.3% 15.0% 17.7% 16.9% 13.5% 7.9% 3.0%
Mark Hurt 3.2% 5.1% 7.1% 10.6% 11.0% 16.1% 17.8% 15.3% 8.7% 5.1%
Nicholas Carney 2.0% 3.2% 4.3% 6.6% 9.9% 11.9% 17.0% 18.9% 17.5% 8.7%
Caroline Ritter 1.9% 3.5% 4.8% 6.0% 11.0% 12.1% 14.3% 19.5% 17.0% 9.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.