Race 7A

pere-marquette

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Patrick Schmidt 27.5% 27.1% 17.8% 13.7% 8.1% 3.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Cailin Oakes 10.0% 9.7% 17.2% 17.9% 17.0% 13.6% 8.8% 4.7% 1.0% 0.1%
Tom Groskopf 36.5% 27.9% 19.1% 10.0% 4.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Bobby Sessions 11.4% 15.5% 19.8% 19.6% 16.1% 10.4% 4.5% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Mark Hurt 3.7% 6.5% 7.0% 8.2% 12.3% 15.7% 17.0% 15.7% 9.8% 4.1%
Maya Smith 5.4% 5.3% 6.5% 11.5% 14.2% 18.3% 15.1% 13.3% 7.5% 2.9%
Caroline Ritter 2.0% 2.3% 3.9% 6.1% 11.0% 13.0% 17.5% 17.0% 17.8% 9.4%
Katy Shadek 0.7% 0.9% 1.6% 3.1% 3.2% 5.3% 8.8% 12.0% 19.1% 45.3%
Emily Allen 1.0% 1.7% 2.4% 3.0% 4.3% 7.5% 10.2% 15.4% 25.6% 28.9%
Nicholas Carney 1.8% 3.1% 4.7% 6.9% 8.9% 11.6% 16.0% 19.6% 18.2% 9.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.