Race 8A

pere-marquette

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Tom Groskopf 39.4% 28.1% 16.3% 9.4% 4.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Schmidt 26.0% 26.5% 21.0% 14.5% 7.2% 3.0% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Cailin Oakes 9.7% 10.1% 14.5% 18.5% 18.3% 15.0% 9.0% 3.2% 1.5% 0.2%
Bobby Sessions 10.5% 16.7% 20.3% 17.2% 17.5% 9.9% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Caroline Ritter 2.9% 3.5% 4.6% 7.6% 9.0% 9.6% 17.1% 20.5% 15.9% 9.3%
Nicholas Carney 3.0% 3.1% 5.1% 5.7% 7.7% 15.1% 15.3% 18.0% 18.4% 8.6%
Mark Hurt 2.7% 4.6% 7.0% 8.3% 14.2% 17.5% 17.0% 15.3% 9.7% 3.7%
Maya Smith 4.0% 5.5% 7.5% 12.3% 14.2% 15.4% 15.8% 14.3% 7.8% 3.2%
Katy Shadek 0.9% 0.7% 1.8% 2.2% 3.4% 5.4% 7.2% 11.8% 21.4% 45.2%
Emily Allen 0.9% 1.2% 1.9% 4.3% 4.4% 7.1% 11.4% 14.3% 24.7% 29.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.