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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.41+1.43vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.79-0.03vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota0.39-0.12vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-0.44+0.33vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.86+0.09vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-0.58-1.49vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-1.69-0.28vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-1.63-1.48vs Predicted
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10Hope College-0.99-3.65vs Predicted
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11Lake Forest College-2.04-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43University of Wisconsin1.410.3%1st Place
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1.97University of Wisconsin1.790.4%1st Place
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3.88University of Minnesota0.390.1%1st Place
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5.33University of Minnesota-0.440.0%1st Place
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6.09Marquette University-0.860.0%1st Place
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5.51Purdue University-0.580.0%1st Place
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7.72Purdue University-1.690.0%1st Place
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7.52Marquette University-1.630.0%1st Place
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6.35Hope College-0.990.0%1st Place
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8.21Lake Forest College-2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Schmidt | 30.4% | 30.5% | 18.7% | 11.7% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tom Groskopf | 42.3% | 30.9% | 18.2% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cailin Oakes | 10.6% | 13.0% | 19.9% | 21.1% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Maya Smith | 3.3% | 6.3% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 17.5% | 17.5% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Learon McGinn | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 10.6% | 4.7% |
| Mark Hurt | 4.3% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 17.9% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 2.7% |
| Emily Allen | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 14.5% | 17.3% | 20.3% | 24.1% |
| Owen Bradley | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 15.5% | 23.3% | 21.0% |
| Caroline Ritter | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 6.8% |
| Katy Shadek | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 19.0% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.