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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Patrick Schmidt 30.4% 30.5% 18.7% 11.7% 5.2% 2.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Tom Groskopf 42.3% 30.9% 18.2% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cailin Oakes 10.6% 13.0% 19.9% 21.1% 15.5% 12.6% 4.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Maya Smith 3.3% 6.3% 11.4% 14.2% 17.5% 17.5% 13.2% 9.7% 5.2% 1.7%
Learon McGinn 3.4% 5.3% 7.3% 9.0% 11.0% 16.7% 16.7% 15.3% 10.6% 4.7%
Mark Hurt 4.3% 6.4% 9.3% 12.8% 17.9% 13.9% 14.2% 11.4% 7.1% 2.7%
Emily Allen 1.1% 1.2% 2.9% 4.8% 5.9% 7.9% 14.5% 17.3% 20.3% 24.1%
Owen Bradley 1.4% 1.8% 3.2% 6.2% 7.9% 9.0% 10.7% 15.5% 23.3% 21.0%
Caroline Ritter 2.5% 3.6% 6.5% 9.8% 13.3% 12.5% 16.3% 14.9% 13.8% 6.8%
Katy Shadek 0.7% 1.0% 2.6% 4.5% 3.8% 7.2% 8.7% 13.5% 19.0% 39.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.