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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+3.14vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.81+7.87vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.42+2.14vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.77+5.04vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.99+4.44vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.10+4.25vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.38+0.19vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.22+3.44vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.97+0.68vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.10+1.22vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University0.97+1.85vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.20-3.53vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.15-0.73vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92-1.11vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.02-6.47vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.04-5.54vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-7.47vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.09-9.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14Stanford University3.3020.0%1st Place
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9.87College of Charleston1.814.1%1st Place
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5.14Yale University2.4214.3%1st Place
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9.04University of Pennsylvania1.775.3%1st Place
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9.44Brown University1.994.9%1st Place
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10.25Dartmouth College2.103.9%1st Place
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7.19Cornell University2.388.2%1st Place
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11.44Northeastern University1.223.0%1st Place
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9.68Roger Williams University1.973.9%1st Place
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11.22Harvard University2.102.7%1st Place
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12.85Old Dominion University0.971.8%1st Place
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8.47Georgetown University2.206.0%1st Place
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12.27Tufts University1.152.1%1st Place
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12.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.922.1%1st Place
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8.53Tulane University2.025.3%1st Place
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10.46U. S. Naval Academy2.043.0%1st Place
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9.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.773.9%1st Place
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8.59Boston College2.095.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 20.0% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 14.3% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Katharine Doble | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% |
| Sarah Young | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% |
| Bridget Green | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 19.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 14.3% |
| Deana Fedulova | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 20.8% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.