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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+8.03vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+5.75vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.75+8.18vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.79+3.14vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.88+5.51vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.67+1.78vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95+3.50vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+0.86vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.68-1.33vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.92-3.54vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.29-1.69vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College3.00-1.74vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.74-5.61vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.27-4.71vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.16-1.80vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-7.63vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.50-8.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.03Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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11.18Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.14Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.51U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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7.78Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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7.67Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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6.46University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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9.31Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
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10.26Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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7.39Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.29Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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13.2Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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8.37St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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8.31Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
| Caroline Patten | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Caroline Wilhelm | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 14.0% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Marissa Lihan | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.7% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Katii Gullick | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% |
| Krysta Rohde | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% |
| Maggie Shea | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% |
| Amy Hawkins | 10.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Catherine Swanson | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.3% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.6% |
| Marlena Fauer | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Mace | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
| Ryann Hall | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 13.9% | 33.6% |
| Mayumi Roller | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Emily Maxwell | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.