Race 10A

pere-marquette

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Patrick Schmidt 31.7% 29.9% 18.4% 11.3% 5.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Cailin Oakes 10.8% 12.8% 22.8% 19.3% 16.2% 9.4% 5.2% 2.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Tom Groskopf 39.1% 32.9% 17.2% 8.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Learon McGinn 2.2% 4.0% 6.6% 10.9% 14.2% 14.9% 16.3% 14.2% 11.8% 4.9%
Mark Hurt 4.4% 6.8% 9.1% 12.3% 13.5% 19.1% 14.7% 12.1% 5.1% 2.9%
Maya Smith 6.2% 6.0% 10.1% 15.5% 18.0% 13.7% 12.7% 11.0% 5.0% 1.8%
Owen Bradley 1.4% 1.1% 2.8% 4.5% 7.7% 10.1% 11.9% 16.0% 22.0% 22.5%
Caroline Ritter 2.0% 3.9% 6.7% 10.4% 11.5% 13.7% 17.0% 16.3% 12.7% 5.8%
Katy Shadek 1.1% 1.1% 2.1% 3.5% 4.0% 7.4% 9.1% 12.8% 21.7% 37.2%
Emily Allen 1.1% 1.5% 4.2% 4.3% 7.7% 8.6% 12.2% 14.6% 20.9% 24.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.