Race 1B

pere-marquette

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Peter Sauer 15.1% 19.0% 19.4% 18.6% 13.3% 7.3% 4.8% 2.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Katherine Zimmerman 8.2% 10.3% 14.9% 18.3% 16.7% 15.7% 9.2% 4.8% 1.4% 0.5%
Carl Eaton 42.3% 28.8% 16.6% 8.0% 3.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mason Chrabaszcz 20.8% 24.3% 23.0% 16.8% 8.7% 3.8% 2.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Edward Marcheselli 4.2% 6.0% 6.8% 9.5% 13.9% 16.4% 16.0% 14.9% 8.8% 3.5%
Colin Higgins 3.3% 4.0% 5.5% 6.9% 12.3% 14.2% 15.4% 16.3% 13.5% 8.6%
Victor Nartovich 2.3% 3.1% 6.0% 9.2% 11.7% 15.4% 19.3% 14.1% 12.6% 6.3%
Bogdan Visan 1.5% 1.9% 3.5% 5.8% 7.9% 11.7% 11.7% 17.6% 21.3% 17.1%
Lisette Boer 1.3% 1.6% 2.9% 3.7% 6.7% 8.3% 12.3% 16.8% 23.0% 23.4%
Max Spehlmann 1.0% 1.0% 1.4% 3.2% 5.3% 6.6% 9.0% 13.1% 18.9% 40.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.