Race 3B

pere-marquette

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Peter Sauer 15.6% 20.6% 18.2% 15.3% 12.6% 9.1% 5.8% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Katherine Zimmerman 8.5% 9.3% 14.9% 16.9% 16.2% 14.3% 10.6% 6.9% 1.9% 0.5%
Lindsey Clark 11.5% 16.3% 16.4% 16.7% 16.3% 11.3% 7.6% 3.1% 0.6% 0.2%
Carl Eaton 44.5% 29.1% 14.1% 7.7% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Miles Clark 9.5% 11.4% 15.5% 16.3% 15.5% 14.2% 10.5% 5.1% 1.7% 0.3%
Colin Higgins 3.4% 4.6% 4.9% 6.3% 9.5% 12.8% 17.5% 16.6% 15.4% 9.0%
Edward Marcheselli 3.1% 3.8% 8.0% 8.6% 12.2% 15.7% 17.3% 15.3% 11.4% 4.6%
Max Spehlmann 0.9% 1.2% 1.7% 3.6% 3.1% 6.5% 8.1% 14.5% 19.3% 41.1%
Lisette Boer 1.4% 1.6% 2.4% 4.3% 5.2% 5.6% 11.4% 18.4% 24.6% 25.1%
Bogdan Visan 1.6% 2.1% 3.9% 4.3% 6.0% 9.6% 11.0% 17.8% 24.6% 19.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.